Intended as a text for the postgraduate students of statistics, this well-written book gives a complete coverage of Estimation theory and Hypothesis testing, in an easy-to-understand style. It is the outcome of the authors’ teaching experience over the years. The text discusses absolutely continuous distributions and random sample which are the basic concepts on which Statistical Inference is built up, with examples that give a clear idea as to what a random sample is and how to draw one such sample from a distribution in real-life situations. It also discusses maximum-likelihood method of estimation, Neyman’s shortest confidence interval, classical and Bayesian approach. The difference between statistical inference and statistical decision theory is explained with plenty of illustrations that help students obtain the necessary results from the theory of probability and distributions, used in inference.

Priced very competitively compared with other textbooks at this level! This gracefully organized textbook reveals the rigorous theory of probability and statistical inference in the style of a tutorial, using worked examples, exercises, numerous figures and tables, and computer simulations to develop and illustrate concepts. Beginning with an introduction to the basic ideas and techniques in probability theory and progressing to more rigorous topics, Probability and Statistical Inference studies the Helmert transformation for normal distributions and the waiting time between failures for exponential distributions develops notions of convergence in probability and distribution spotlights the central limit theorem (CLT) for the sample variance introduces sampling distributions and the Cornish-Fisher expansions concentrates on the fundamentals of sufficiency, information, completeness, and ancillarity explains Basu's Theorem as well as location, scale, and location-scale families of distributions covers moment estimators, maximum likelihood estimators (MLE), Rao-Blackwellization, and the Cramér-Rao inequality discusses uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimators (UMVUE) and Lehmann-Scheffé Theorems focuses on the Neyman-Pearson theory of most powerful (MP) and uniformly most powerful (UMP) tests of hypotheses, as well as confidence intervals includes the likelihood ratio (LR) tests for the mean, variance, and correlation coefficient summarizes Bayesian methods describes the monotone likelihood ratio (MLR) property handles variance stabilizing transformations provides a historical context for statistics and statistical discoveries showcases great statisticians through biographical notes Employing over 1400 equations to reinforce its subject matter, Probability and Statistical Inference is a groundbreaking text for first-year graduate and upper-level undergraduate courses in probability and statistical inference who have completed a calculus prerequisite, as well as a supplemental text for classes in Advanced Statistical Inference or Decision Theory.

This book is brimming with thought-provoking illustrations of different people in different places, all of which are accompanied by a series of questions designed to encourage prediction and inference skills. Participants are asked to consider everything from who the person in the picture is to how they may be feeling and why.

The Inference Activities workbook is an easy to use manual that has been designed to engage your students with high interest scenarios. Each scenario contains several questions which prompt your students' thinking and problem solving abilities. This inferencing activities book focuses on teaching students inference and thinking skills. The book has over 100 compelling fiction and non-fiction scenarios to explore. After reading a scenario, students are prompted to look beyond surface details in the text and find the concealed meaning. This requires students to use their inferencing ability, an essential reading comprehension skill. The activities feature six sections: Section 1: Inference from Pictures and Text Section 2: Sentence level Inference Section 3: Paragraph level Inference (Non-fiction) Section 4: Paragraph Level Inference (Fiction) Section 5: Text Level Inference (Non-fiction) Section 6: Text Level Inference (Fiction) For school students ages 8-12.

The mathematization of causality is a relatively recent development, and has become increasingly important in data science and machine learning. This book offers a self-contained and concise introduction to causal models and how to learn them from data. After explaining the need for causal models and discussing some of the principles underlying causal inference, the book teaches readers how to use causal models: how to compute intervention distributions, how to infer causal models from observational and interventional data, and how causal ideas could be exploited for classical machine learning problems. All of these topics are discussed first in terms of two variables and then in the more general multivariate case. The bivariate case turns out to be a particularly hard problem for causal learning because there are no conditional independences as used by classical methods for solving multivariate cases. The authors consider analyzing statistical asymmetries between cause and effect to be highly instructive, and they report on their decade of intensive research into this problem. The book is accessible to readers with a background in machine learning or statistics, and can be used in graduate courses or as a reference for researchers. The text includes code snippets that can be copied and pasted, exercises, and an appendix with a summary of the most important technical concepts.

Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.